joegalt, Author at Zenconomics

IBC – What’s it all about?

by R. Nelson Nash
Author of Becoming Your Own Banker
Article originally published in the October issue of BankNotes

It should be evident to most people that the last 100 years have been very violent in the financial world. Why? What happened to cause all this turbulence?

During this period we have witnessed the bloodiest century of all time. Two World Wars. Endless smaller wars all over the earth. An influenza epidemic after WWI. Nations formed and then self-destructed. New diseases coming into existence. Endless turmoil in the Mid-East. Empires coming apart. Financial euphoria followed by inevitable busts. Unbelievably powerful weapons and weapon systems. Propaganda perpetrated on an unsuspecting public such as man-made global warming. The list could take several pages to itemize them.

So, what’s going on? All of these actions are preceded by thoughts of the people involved at any time and place. Or, maybe it could be best described as lack of thought! It appears to me that people have forgotten how to live. It could be that they never learned how to live in the first place. Maybe it could be because of the way people feel. We seem to have a generation of “touchy-feely” folks that are in places of leadership and they influence the actions of every-day people.

Wars make absolutely no sense, but it is evident that this behavior is a common denominator throughout this time frame. Nothing good came from them. Yet, wars are glorified in the minds of many people. Things like Tom Brokaw’s book, The Greatest Generation. In reality it was a disaster — because of what it did to the minds of the people. They heard lies and came to believe them. Our country had already adopted Socialist ideas a number of years earlier, but this head-long plunge gained tremendous momentum during this period. I was there to witness it as a teenager and have seen it unfold to become the monster that we have today.

The historian, Dr. Clarence B. Carson wrote a masterful book entitled, The World In The Grip Of An Idea back in the 1970’s. He did a great job of explaining how we got into this abominable situation. The book needs to be re-published and Dr. Paul Cleveland and Dr. L. Dwayne Barney are in the process of re-writing it at this time. The world needs this book very much and so I encourage you to get a copy when it becomes available.

From my own perspective, money is the real common denominator in human action. The great Austrian Economist, Ludwig von Mises points out that the business cycle is caused by central banks. They inflate the money supply dramatically and people can’t tell the difference between “real money” and the “counterfeit money” (fiat money has no real basis). They feel that it is real wealth and so they do things that are totally irrational. This creates booms in the economy. In due course of time, reality rears its ugly head, and the bust follows.

This pattern has a long history, but it seems that every generation during the boom years feels that “Yes, those things happened in the past – but, this time it’s different!” This is nothing but hubris in its purest form. It is the “Arrival Syndrome” that I describe in my book, BECOMING YOUR OWN BANKER. It is the worst thing that can happen to the human mind!

Government debt all over the world is huge. But, consumer debt in these nations is approximately equal in volume. Bankers have created a mind-set in people that “you don’t have to save money– just spend, spend, spend! We are going to take care of your financial needs.” A local Credit Union advertises “Get a Legacy Lifestyle Loan from us.” Translated: “If you don’t like your present lifestyle, then get a loan from us so you can live the way you want to today! Don’t worry about having to repay the loan.”
We are bombarded with such stuff every day. If you listen to financial advertising very long then it becomes “hourly!”

Your local, commercial banks are the primary source of inflation. They lend money that doesn’t exist. If anyone else did that they would be put in jail! But, this chicanery has been going on so long that most everyone considers it normal.

In the video, Banking With Life, Dr. Paul Cleveland points out that people confuse money with wealth. Wealth is your productivity, and things that you own. Money is just the medium of exchange that we use to acquire wealth. Creating a pool of money from which to buy wealth is a necessary function in an economy. This pool of money is known as banking! We could not live the way we do today without the concept of banking! It is sovereign! Some party in your life is going to be the banker whether you recognize it or not!

That party should be you! John Donne (1572-1631) gave us the thought, “No man is an island.” Therefore, this Infinite Banking Concept must involve other people in the form of a contractual relationship. The perfect financial instrument to accomplish this has been in existence for over 200 years. It is known as Dividend-paying Whole Life Insurance (Preferably with a Mutual Company – one that is owned by the policy owners). Your medium of exchange must be warehoused somewhere! There are no exceptions!

This is a place that cannot inflate the money supply. This Infinite Banking Concept has been taught through my book, Becoming Your Own Banker and the follow-up book, Building Your Warehouse of Wealth. Further explanation is provided by How Privatized Banking Really Works by Carlos Lara and Robert P. Murphy, PhD.

Through these books and seminars that are taught all over the USA and Canada, there are now thousands of people who will never have to make loans from an institution that inflates the money supply and creates “booms and busts.” You, too, can become your own banker!

Please see the October issue of BankNotes for the original article and others like it.

Real History

submitted by jwithrow.

Journal of a Wayward Philosopher
Real History

October 15, 2014
Hot Springs, VA

The S&P is checking in at $1,851 today, gold is up to $1,236, oil is down to $80.34, bitcoin is around $396, and the 10-year has plummeted to 2.01%. The 10-year Treasury rate must have been afraid of its shadow this week.

Wife Rachel said my entry yesterday about the history of fiat currency bored her so much she fell asleep reading it. Sorry about that.

I see history as quite fascinating. Not the history that comes in Department of Education approved politically correct textbooks, mind you, but real history. Real history isn’t piecemeal highlights with names, places, and dates to remember; it is so much more important than that. Real history doesn’t show up in textbooks or in classrooms.

Real history is friend Wade’s family letters housed on his family farm in South Carolina. The letters were written by the original owners of the farm – his ancestors – and they have been passed down from generation to generation since. Real history is a five-bedroom brick home sitting atop “town hill” in Covington, Virginia built by my great-great-grandfather after emigrating from Lebanon in the late 19th century and opening a restaurant. This house comes complete with a Lebanese-style tiered garden on the side of the mountain. I can only imagine how many other pieces of real history are out there, passed down from generation to generation and discussed over Thanksgiving dinner.

But what is important with real history? Not so much the names, dates, and places as interesting as they may be. Instead, it is the ideas, values, and lessons that come with real history that are really important. These intangibles, if heeded, are what truly shape the future.

The textbook history tells me Napoleon invaded Russia and his army got wiped out. What do I learn from this? Don’t invade Russia? I will be sure not to make that mistake. Real history tells me great-great-grandfather emigrated from Lebanon, opened a restaurant, and worked like crazy to create a better life for his family. I am a part of that legacy. What do I learn from this? Free enterprise has the power to liberate and elevate individuals, families, and communities. This is a real, actionable lesson that is much more valuable to me than learning not to invade Russia.

Real history is mostly ‘private’ information while textbook history is ‘public’ information. What’s taught in the classroom and what comes on the news is also public information. Our society places a very high value on this public information; we love to hang around the water cooler and talk about it. It is to the point now where we seem to think that public information is all there is. We think the school teaches us everything we need to know and we think the news reports all aspects of all events to us every day.

Our worldview, which determines how we think and act, is shaped by this public information.

The problem is public information is riddled with holes and often less than helpful. “Don’t invade Russia” is sound advice but I was extremely unlikely to do so in the first place. If we value public information then we waste quite a bit of time on things that aren’t very relevant to us at all. Should Ray Rice have been banned? Should I buy Alibaba stock post-IPO? How will the mid-term elections go? Who will run for President in 2016?

Who cares?!

Football is just entertainment and unless you had Ray Rice on your fantasy team his private life probably doesn’t concern you much. Alibaba is the largest e-commerce company in the world and its IPO was welcomed with all manner of press and hoopla. But IPOs are designed for the insiders to get rich by selling their private stock to the public at an inflated valuation. This works best when the media pumps up the IPO story over and over again. You don’t want to be on the public side of an IPO, you want to be on the private side. And the mid-term elections are largely irrelevant as is the presidential election in 2016. No matter who wins the debt will continue to spiral out of control until the U.S. dollar is supplanted from its perch as the international reserve currency… probably by the IMF’s “Special Drawing Rights” (SDR). No amount of campaigning and voting will prepare you for the inevitable; probably best to stop wasting time and start preparing for the Great Reset now.

Public information is similar to the fiat currency we discussed yesterday. Maybe a little bit of it won’t do too much harm but go past that line and you are going to be in a world of financial hurt. So in this humble philosopher’s opinion: focus on real history and private information. The rest is probably just noise.

Hopefully this one doesn’t put wife to sleep. On second thought, maybe it’s for the best.

More to come,

Joe Withrow
Wayward Philosopher

For more of Joe’s thoughts on the Great Reset and regaining individual sovereignty please read “The Individual is Rising” which is available at http://www.theindividualisrising.com. The book is also available on Amazon in both paperback and Kindle editions.

Fiat Money Undermines Society

submitted by jwithrow.

Journal of a Wayward Philosopher
Fiat Money Undermines Society

October 14, 2014
Hot Springs, VA

The S&P is checking in at $1,878 today, gold is up to $1,234, oil is down to $85, bitcoin is up to $403, and the 10-year is now down to 2.20%. All in a day’s work, I suppose.

Autumn is truly a beautiful season. There is a gentle, crisp breeze in the air up here in the mountains of Virginia and a myriad of red, orange, and yellow leaves dot the landscape. As we await Maddie’s entrance, wife Rachel and I will spend the day making homemade apple cider to celebrate such a fine season!

Last week I suggested that fiat money always seems to undermine the morality and stability of society throughout history. Let’s examine this a little bit more today.

First, we must be clear about what fiat money is. Fiat money is any currency that derives its value from government law and regulation. The word ‘fiat’ is Latin for “let it be done”. Essentially, fiat money is what the government says is money. Once decreeing something as money, governments usually force people and businesses to use whatever it is through legal tender laws. Fiat money has taken different forms throughout history. Today we primarily use electronic credit-based national currencies (U.S. dollars, Euros, Yen, etc.) as our fiat money. We still use fiat paper currency also but we are gradually transitioning away from this form of money. Here in the United States we use “Federal Reserve Notes” as our paper currency. Take a look at what the bills in your wallet say to confirm this.

Societies, to the extent that you can pinpoint a beginning and end to them, have not started out with fiat money. Historically, society starts out with free-market money – usually gold, silver, or some other valuable commodity – and then unwittingly moves to fiat money as its government becomes more and more corrupt.

Rome was using a pure silver “denarius” at the beginning of the 1st century, A.D. Roman emperors then learned how to ‘print’ money by melting down their silver coins, adding cheap base metal into the mix, then re-minting the denarius with a lower silver content. This enabled them to mint more silver coins than they had melted down, but the denarius was no longer pure silver.

The denarius was 85% silver by the year 100. By 218, the denarius was down to only 43% silver content. And by year 244 the denarius contained only .05% silver. This meant that each Roman denarius coin could purchase 99.95% less than what it could originally purchase! In other words, everyday prices were 99.95% higher for Romans in year 244 than they were in year 1.

So why in the world did the Roman emperors debase their currency so much? Why, for great wars, great public works, and to enrich themselves, of course! You have read all about the Roman Empire in the history textbooks. Maintaining an empire requires soldiers and soldiers require food, water, and payment. Oh, and weapons. This gets more and more expensive as the empire gets bigger and bigger. I bet you have read about the coliseum too – it was very expensive to build and maintain. Who was going to pay for it all?

The emperor certainly wasn’t about to curtail his lavish lifestyle to chip in. Instead he turned to dishonest fiat money: he melted down silver coins and made more of them with a lesser silver content. Then he paid the soldiers and workers and pretended like nothing was different about the money. As the currency was debased, Roman society got poorer and the government became more corrupt. Eventually the Roman Empire became impoverished and collapsed.

Looking farther east, Marco Polo documented the use of fiat money in China:

“You might say that [Kublai] has the secret of alchemy in perfection… the Khan causes every year to be made such a vast quantity of this money, which costs him nothing, that it must equal in amount all the treasure of the world.”

He continues:

“Population and trade had greatly increased, but the emissions of paper notes were suffered to largely outrun both… All the beneficial effects of a currency that is allowed to expand with a growth of population and trade were now turned into those evil effects that flow from a currency emitted in excess of such growth. These effects were not slow to develop themselves… The best families in the empire were ruined, a new set of men came into the control of public affairs, and the country became the scene of internecine warfare and confusion.”

The same thing happened in France when John Law introduced fiat paper currency in 1716: the currency was inflated into oblivion and the society was impoverished. And in Weimar Germany in the 1920’s – it got to the point where Germans were using paper marks to heat their furnaces! Argentina has followed suit a couple times in the late 1900’s. Zimbabwe was one of the wealthiest countries in Africa until its government ramped up the printing presses in 2008 and implemented price controls. It wasn’t long before civilized society was wiped out in Zimbabwe and people could no longer get enough food and water for themselves.

Do you notice a trend?

Fast forward to present day: the U.S. dollar has lost 98% of its value since the Federal Reserve was implemented in 1913. Much of this devaluation has occurred since all ties to gold were removed in 1971. What has happened to our cost of living?

Technology has also boomed since 1971 such that the means of production and distribution are much more efficient today than ever before. It seems to me this scenario should have reduced the cost of living for everyone. But has it? It wasn’t that long ago when an average American household consisted of only one wage earner. This one income was enough to provide a high quality of life for the family while the spouse stayed home to raise the kids. Most households now require two incomes just to get by.

The American standard of living is going in the wrong direction and this is largely due to fiat money. Further, the fiat money is used primarily for the same things it has always been used for throughout history – war, public works, and the enrichment of the political class…

I will leave it there for today but I hope my point was made.

Until the morrow,

Joe Withrow
Wayward Philosopher

On the National Debt

submitted by jwithrow.

Journal of a Wayward Philosopher
On the National Debt

October 7, 2014
Hot Springs, VA

The S&P is down to $1,953, gold is up to $1,212, oil is up to $89, bitcoin is up to $330, and the 10-year is down to 2.38%.

Looks like the 10-year Treasury rate is still well-corralled for the moment. And gold is still on sale.

Yesterday we examined a few of the traps cleverly hidden for infants coming into the world at this time – prompted by wife Rachel and my expectations of a little girl named Madison set to begin her journey here on Earth within the next few days or weeks. Today let’s look at the overt trap that boldly claims the right to little Madison’s future earnings: the national debt.

It is popular today for politicians to speak out against the national debt and boldly claim that ‘we’ (they love this ‘we’ business) need to balance the government’s budget and begin to pay the debt down. This sounds great and people will vote for you for making such a statement, but there are two problems this leaves unaddressed – one based in economics and one based in morality.

First, the economic problem: the national debt is not $17.75 trillion as advertised. The national debt is actually closer to $200 trillion if you calculate it according to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) which require you to record all future liabilities on your balance sheet. Most of these future liabilities that are not included in the official debt figure are Social Security and Medicare commitments. These future commitments are completely unfunded which means there exists no underlying revenue support and no asset backing. The only way these future commitments can be met is if enough money comes into the Social Security and Medicare programs versus going out. Demographics tell us that 10,000 Baby Boomers will retire EVERY SINGLE DAY for the next ten years, however, which suggests that a huge number of people are going to move from being contributors to these programs to recipients.

Oh, and both Social Security and Medicare already run annual deficits.

These politicians must be expecting quite a bit from my little Madison if they plan to balance the budget and pay down the debt with her future earnings.

But they don’t actually plan to balance the budget and pay down the debt. The simple fact is it can’t honestly be done without defaulting on the existing commitments in some capacity. There’s just too much debt and not enough production. Which leads us to the moral problem: this system is incredibly, unbelievably immoral.

Why should anyone be taxed and forced to pay for anything against their will? What kind of system assigns debt to infants from the moment they draw their first breath in this world? What kind of system incentivizes debt, dishonesty, consumption, and exploitation while punishing honesty and production?

My answer: a really bad one.

So did the economic problem lead to the moral problem or vice versa? I am not sure but history does suggest that dishonest fiat money seems to always undermine the morality and stability of society.

I will have more thoughts on that in a later entry. In the meantime be sure to order a copy of The Individual is Rising for a more in depth look at these economic problems, some financial strategies to prepare for the Great Reset, and more.

Focusing our attention back on the debt-trap: how best to prepare Maddie for life in a society that plans to confiscate her future earnings to pay for the immorality of earlier generations?

It is a shame that I have to spend any time at all on this question here in what is supposed to be the “Land of the Free”. The more I think about it, the more I become convinced that education is the key to preparing our children for the world that awaits them.

Not education of the public kind, however. It looks to me like the public schools are setting children up to be victims of the immoral System. The public school system fosters a herd mentality and requires students to subordinate themselves to “authority” at all times. Such an environment is not going to stimulate the creativity and self-confidence necessary to thrive in a society that expects the next generation to pay the debts of the previous. Instead, this method of education is going to condition students to happily embrace their servitude to the System as it pillages the fruits of their labor in the name of the “common good”.

Far better to create an individualized educational experience tailored to Madison’s unique skills and interests. Instead of forcing subjects upon her, why not let her guide her own education? Rachel and I will probably need to do most of the guiding in the early years, but I suspect Madison will be plenty capable of determining her own path as she grows and matures. Enabling self-education in this manner will certainly do a better job of preparing her for adult-hood than the government school system that conditions students to always seek guidance and permission from “experts” instead of trusting their own abilities.

Of course this self-education will need to be blended with social activities as well. Fortunately, one can find all manner of groups, clubs, and activities using a simple internet search these days so I don’t see this being much of a problem. What will Madison like to do? Dance? Aikido? Art? Music? Softball? All of the above?

The world will be her oyster…

More to come,

Joe Withrow
Wayward Philosopher

Maddie Coming Soon

submitted by jwithrow.

Journal of a Wayward Philosopher
Maddie Coming Soon

October 6, 2014
Hot Springs, VA

The S&P opened at $1,975, gold is down to $1,190, oil is hanging around $88, bitcoin back up slightly to $327, and the 10-year is checking in at 2.44%. While this wouldn’t be a bad time to pick up an ounce or two of the yellow metal, the 10-year Treasury rate is what’s really worth keeping an eye on. How long can the Fed keep rates suppressed? Some say forever; some say until December. I say “I don’t know”. Assuming the folks who say forever are wrong, what then happens when rates go up? Some say the Fed can manage the increase in a gradual fashion; some say the poor 10-year Treasury has been cooped up for so long that it will blow through the roof once free of its chains. I say “I don’t know” again but I tend to think the latter is probably more likely. And then…

Shifting gears from economic future to family future, wife Rachel is 39.5 weeks pregnant as of today! Coming soon: a little girl. How exciting! We shall call her “Maddie”. With Rachel busy working on her nesting list, I close my eyes and try to catch a glimpse of the future that awaits little Madison.

Look at all those traps.

Heavy metal toxins in infant vaccines? Round-up ready GMO fruits and vegetables? Ouch.

Government-run public school system designed to feed the administrators and instill collectivist ideals in the children? Probably best to steer clear.

Skyrocketing college tuition? Will there even be jobs left in this economy in twenty-some years?

Opening my eyes, I am confident that we have a pretty good plan to help Maddie tackle the college problem: an infinite banking insurance policy paired with a “hands-off” approach. We can fund a life insurance policy for Madison as soon as she turns two weeks old. With an annual premium of $3,000 per year, the policy will have a cash value of at least $60,000 by the time Madison reaches adult-hood. Then we sign the policy over to her and say follow your passion. Want to travel the world? Go for it. Want to start a business? Here’s your working capital. Want to go to college? No need for student loans.

Of course that $60,000 cash value figure is based on today’s purchasing power. I am confident the insurance company will be able to keep up with inflation via long-term investments and sound actuarial pricing on new policies such that Madison’s policy dividends will keep up with inflation also. Or maybe the dollar crashes and the insurance industry has to denominate their policies in gold in order to survive. Wouldn’t that be something! Then we wouldn’t need to worry about inflation because we would be using REAL money again!

Or maybe this strategy blows up in our face… who knows. We examine the Infinite Banking Concept (IBC) in more detail in our book “The Individual is Rising” – you can get it here.

So what is college for anyway? As best I can tell, people go to college to receive a degree that says they went to college. Then they try to get a job where they can sit behind a desk all day. That’s pretty much it. I suspect there was a little more to it years ago (early-to-mid 20th century?) and of course there are some exceptions – especially in the specialized fields like engineering.

Think about it. What is the first thing people say when they go to a job interview? “I have a degree in such and such”. This is supposed to be a strong selling point for the potential employee… but is it really? What does having a degree actually tell you about someone? You can probably safely assume that this person has spent a fair amount of time drinking cheap beer. I don’t know that you can really deduce much else. Doesn’t everybody have a degree these days? Doesn’t the government finance ninety-some percent of those degrees?

Doesn’t sound like much of a selling point to me.

We live in a ‘have’ oriented society – we place a premium on ‘having’ things. A degree, a nice car, a big house, a fancy wardrobe, you name it. We tend to link our own self-worth to what we ‘have’. We shouldn’t do that. Much more important than ‘having’ is ‘doing’. What are you doing to make your life better? What are you doing to make your family’s life better? But wait, there’s something even more important: ‘being’. What is the nature of your character? Are you a kind and strong-willed person? Can others count on you to be honest? Do you understand that your self-worth is derived from what’s within? Do you recognize how powerful and wise you truly are?

Having is nice. Doing is great. Being is essential. Focus on the being and everything else will fall into place. This is the one lesson I hope my daughter learns from me; any other lessons imparted from me to her will be of lesser importance. I also firmly believe it is a two-way street… I can’t wait to find out what she has to teach me also!

Back to the present: looks like I have some tasks assigned to me on wife’s nesting list. It is best not to keep her waiting.

Until the morrow,

Joe Withrow
Wayward Philosopher

Journal of a Wayward Philosopher

submitted by jwithrow.

Introduction

October 5, 2014
Hot Springs, VA

This will be my first journal entry in this segment I am calling “Journal of a Wayward Philosopher”. I intend to post an entry periodically throughout each week going forward.

I got the title for this segment by asking my wife to describe me in one word. She immediately said “philosopher”. I then asked her to describe me using an adjective. She said “introverted”… I remained silent. Then she said “honest”… I still remained silent. Then she said “non-confrontational”… and I continued to remain silent. Then she said “strong-willed” and I thanked her for her help and decided to use “wayward” as my adjective.

What I hope to offer through these journal entries is a unique perspective on life, finance, economics, and philosophy in general as seen through my rugged individualist lens.

Please make no mistake about it: I am under no illusion of importance. I have no more intelligence or wisdom than the next guy and I am fully aware of my own ignorance.

I am also fiercely private and I have no desire whatsoever to talk about myself. And by private I mean that I am sometimes taken aback when asked about what I did last weekend. “None of your business” is often the first thought that comes to mind. But then I regain my composure, smile, and say I cut grass last weekend.

I have found this to be the perfect response to all conversations that begin with “What did you do last weekend?”. Why? Because people usually ask this question specifically so they can pass judgment on your response. Maybe it’s subconscious most of the time, but that’s what people are really doing when they ask you this question.

So I tell them I cut the grass. Cutting the grass is seen as “productive” (a term that has become a misused cliche, by the way) and it is completely uninteresting so it lends itself to no follow-up questions. Truthfully, I was much more likely to be sipping a glass of whiskey by the fireplace last weekend than cutting the grass – especially if we are in the month of November. But sipping whiskey lends itself to judgment AND follow-up questions so best just to cut grass year-round.

The point is I really don’t care much for talking about myself. I find it to be very uncomfortable.

So why publish a journal? Well, because I know you will read it. And I know that if you read my journal then you are much more likely to buy my book. After all, isn’t that what philosophizing is all about – selling books? Either way, I am grateful for your readership and I welcome all questions, comments, and feedback.

Until the morrow,

Joe Withrow
Wayward Philosopher

If

by Rudyard Kipling

If you can keep your head when all about you
Are losing theirs and blaming it on you;
If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you,
But make allowance for their doubting too;
If you can wait and not be tired by waiting,
Or, being lied about, don’t deal in lies,
Or, being hated, don’t give way to hating,
And yet don’t look too good, nor talk too wise;

If you can dream – and not make dreams your master;
If you can think – and not make thoughts your aim;
If you can meet with triumph and disaster
And treat those two imposters just the same;
If you can bear to hear the truth you’ve spoken
Twisted by knaves to make a trap for fools,
Or watch the things you gave your life to broken,
And stoop and build ’em up with wornout tools;

If you can make one heap of all your winnings
And risk it on one turn of pitch-and-toss,
And lose, and start again at your beginnings
And never breath a word about your loss;
If you can force your heart and nerve and sinew
To serve your turn long after they are gone,
And so hold on when there is nothing in you
Except the Will which says to them: “Hold on”;

If you can talk with crowds and keep your virtue,
Or walk with kings – nor lose the common touch;
If neither foes nor loving friends can hurt you;
If all men count with you, but none too much;
If you can fill the unforgiving minute
With sixty seconds’ worth of distance run –
Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it,
And – which is more – you’ll be a Man my son!

Hormegeddon Excerpt

submitted by jwithrow.

The following is a particularly truthful yet entertaining excerpt from Bill Bonner’s new book titled “Hormegeddon: How Too Much of a Good Thing Leads to Disaster”. For more information on the book, go here: http://pro.bonnerandpartners.com/BBLHORMV2P/WBBLQ800?h=true.

Today, truly independent thinking isn’t illegal, but it is rare. Psychologists have done a number of studies proving that most people will ignore obvious facts and conclusions in order to remain steadfast with the group. That is, they prefer solidarity to truth. They prefer public information to private information, even though the former lacks meaning, cannot be verified and often is contradicted by personal observation and experiences. That is why people stand in line in airports watching an old lady get patted down by TSA agents, even though everyone knows perfectly well the old gal poses no threat.

It is also why most people can see little difference between a sporting event and a war. In both instances an instinct—developed over thousands of years—causes them to support the home team without quibble or equivocation. Their brains are not adapted to the kind of abstract thinking required to separate one competition from the other. For 99% of our time on earth there was no need.

These instincts make people easy to deceive, especially when they are out of range of the herald’s voice. They are encouraged to believe that the collective projects are beneficial, whatever they are. Often, in a spirit of solidarity, they go along with the gag—for decades—even as the evidence from their daily lives contradicts its premises and undermines its promises. How else do you explain WWI, in which all major combatants continued making extravagant investments in a war, year after year, with no positive return? By the time the war ended there were 37 million casualties and the leading participants were bankrupt. What was the point? What was at stake that would justify such an investment of resources? Apparently, nothing. Nor did the Russians or Chinese readily give up their experiments with communism even when their schemes disrupted the private plans of nearly a billion people over three generations. And already, America’s War on Terror has loomed over us for more than 10 years, even though there have been far more sightings of Elvis and Jimmy Hoffa than actual terrorists.

Not everyone goes along, however. First, a few “out of the box” thinkers question the program. Then, the masses begin to grumble and complain. Unfortunately, that’s when the planners make even more plans. Typically, they urge people to make sacrifices. They promise that it will all turn out right in the end. “You can’t make an omelet without breaking some eggs,” said Lenin. People go along with breaking a few eggs for a while, particularly if the eggs belong to someone else. But ultimately, the problem is not the eggs, it’s the omelet. It has the right shape, it appears sensible and rational. It should taste good. But it’s disgusting. When you cut into it, it’s burnt and runny. There are things inside you didn’t order. There’s probably a hair. And that’s when you realize that you never wanted an omelet. You just wanted some eggs.

Saving

submitted by jwithrow.

We have been hearing all about how most Americans are living paycheck to paycheck and not saving any money as justification for the brilliant (*cough*) myRA government savings plans so we felt that it would be prudent to take a deeper look at what ‘saving’ is.

You see, we don’t think that saving is about money. Money is involved, but it is not the focus. Saving is really about storing our productive efforts.

It goes back to the days of barter…

Back then the fisherman would catch extra fish in the morning and take them to the market in the afternoon to trade his extra fish with the farmer for vegetables. His wife liked to have vegetables with her fish for supper so he had to trade for vegetables instead of the painted rock that he really liked.

The fisherman had learned that fish would start to smell bad the day after being caught so he had no choice but to trade all of his extra fish every afternoon and go fishing for more again every morning.

Until the fisherman discovered gold. Then the fisherman could trade his extra fish for gold and take the next day off. The fisherman didn’t really care about amassing gold; he just figured out that gold would let him store his production so he didn’t have to go fishing every single day to feed his family. And it turned out that three day old gold smelled much better than three day old fish – this was a bonus.

So saving was born!

Somewhere along the line we forgot this and started to think that saving was about amassing money. And on top of that we started to think that money was paper and not gold. We are so forgetful!

So when saving became about money and not about production we opened the door to debt. We started to think that instead of saving we could just borrow whatever money we needed. After all, the credit money still bought stuff just like the saved money except we didn’t have to wait to use it!

But then when we had to start using our entire paycheck to pay back all of the credit money we found out that we had to be even more productive now than before we went into debt. Our plan backfired.

We didn’t learn from our smart fisherman ancestor and now we had to go fishing both in the morning and in the afternoon to have enough fish for our supper and also enough to trade for vegetables so our wife won’t get mad and also enough to give to the banker to pay him back for the credit money that bought us the really neat painted rock.

Darn painted rocks.

Debt Impedes Economic Recovery

submitted by jwithrow.

Debt is nothing more than an obligation to pay for present spending with future earnings.

A little bit of debt used to increase future earnings is a good thing. A little bit of debt used to increase present spending at the expense of future earnings is not a very good thing. A lot of debt used to increase present spending at the expense of future earnings is a good way to make it very difficult for there to be any earnings in the future at all.

At the macroeconomic level, the U.S. has chosen option three. Japan and Europe have done the same.

The great thing about economics is that there is a ‘response’ system built in that maintains a sort of chaotic order in the general market.

When there is significant capital formation within the system, interest rates go down. Decreasing interest rates send a signal that it is a good time to borrow so homes are purchased and businesses expand.

Interest rates then rise as more debt is taken on and thus capital available diminishes. This sends a signal that it is not a good time to borrow so mortgages are paid down and business debt is reduced. This leads to gradual capital formation within the system that will trigger a decrease in interest rates and the cycle perpetuates.

But guess what happens when you have an Ivy League graduate that thinks it is his job to force interest rates lower and keep them suppressed?

That’s right! The market does not receive the proper signal and it looks like it is still a good time to borrow. So even more homes are purchased and businesses keep on expanding.

Then we get the idea that home prices should always go up, stock prices should always go up, businesses should always expand, and GDP should always grow.

And we end up with more debt.

U.S. debt has grown by more than 60% since the financial crisis began in 2008. Global debt has grown by more than 40% in the same time period.

It turns out that a problem of too much debt cannot be solved by taking on more debt.

The events of 2008 sent a signal that it was time to stop borrowing and to liquidate debt but we didn’t listen. The economy will undoubtedly blow up again and the next crisis will be even bigger because the debt is now even bigger.

The only way for the economy to truly recover is for a mass-liquidation of debt to occur. Until then we can expect the Fed to keep fudging the numbers and blaming economic stagnancy on the snow.

We happen to like snow and find it to be much more desirable than the Fed, both economically and ascetically.